How Bad is Unemployment?

by JadeDragon on January 19, 2010

There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and
statistics
.
” – Benjamin Disraeli (1804-1881, British Prime Minister, Lawyer, Author)

Statistics are often distorted to give a misleading impression. Some people (and government agencies) use bogus statistics to “prove” a theory, support an opinion or excuse a policy. Darrell Huff wrote a book called How to Lie with Statistics that demonstrated how easily statistics can be used to deceive rather then inform. Examples in Huff’s book include using samples with the built-in bias, unqualified averages, calculated omissions and making selective comparisons.

Nearly 100% of you fine readers are interested in Passive Income Ideas and about 75% of you fine readers are Americans. However, Americans are only a small part of the global population. Therefore we can chart that Americans are more interested in Passive Income Ideas then residents of other countries since those people don’t come to Innovative Passive Income looking for information on passive income ideas.

While backed up by statistics, my conclusions are 94.7% likely to be bogus (as is the 94.7% number I just made up on the spot).

So can we believe the US Unemployment Statistics? I submit that they are about as accurate as the 94.7% estimate I just quoted.

How bad is unemployment really though? A lot worse then the government wants us to think. Ever heard of “Consumer Confidence”, the all important metric of the economic recovery? Well there would be a lot less consumer confidence if the consumers understood the real unemployment numbers. This video explains how the US Government is fudging the numbers.

Now here is a graphical representation using the official unemployment stats.  The darker counties have higher unemployment.  (there seem to be benefits to living in farming areas).

With official (bogus) unemployment rates at 10% in the US, and the real unemployment rate far higher, now is definitely not a good time to rely solely on job based income. It is clearly a good time to start some passive income streams to supplement or replace job income. Join me in the quest.

Resources:

If you want a technical explanation from the BLS see here

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{ 3 trackbacks }

Real, No Money to Start
April 17, 2010 at 1:44 am
What is Your Lifestyle Design Goal?
April 18, 2010 at 5:21 am
US Federal Job Resources — Passive Income Ideas: The Innovative Passive Income Blog
February 23, 2011 at 1:52 am

{ 6 comments… read them below or add one }

1 Brooke Allen March 31, 2010 at 2:53 pm

Perhaps one of the reasons why you get 75% of visitors from the US is because many passive income opportunities are US-based. Some places won’t even take non-Americans. Then you have other people that might participate in passive-income opportunities that don’t speak English.

Just another way that statistics can be deceiving ;-).

Reply

2 JadeDragon March 31, 2010 at 9:52 pm

Well yes, plus a lot of my traffic comes from forums that are US focused. This site is picking up more Indian (and other Asian) traffic now that I’ve done some guest posting in a blog that is India based.

Reply

3 Master Dayton April 1, 2010 at 9:58 am

Yeah, I worked preparing financial reports for a couple years and was amazed. This isn’t a new thing, either, this is how unemployment has been figured for many years. It seems a bit ridiculous when you have “unemployment numbers” and then you still have to have “real unemployment estimated” numbers. Agree on the passive income. It helped carry me through some lean months.

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4 10 minute solution dvd May 19, 2010 at 6:21 am

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5 JadeDragon May 19, 2010 at 3:57 pm

I get lots of spam… is your comment spam?

Reply

6 computer animation dvd May 20, 2010 at 3:09 am

I don’t usually respond to posts but may in this case. Wow :)

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